SpaceX六月IPO？1.5万亿美元星际赌注如何搅动全球

Core Insights - SpaceX is planning an IPO in mid-June 2026, aiming to raise up to $50 billion with a target valuation of $1.5 trillion, potentially making it the largest IPO in history, surpassing Saudi Aramco's $29 billion IPO in 2019 [1][3][15] Group 1: IPO Details - The IPO is being actively prepared, with CFO Brett Johnson having multiple discussions with existing private investors since December 2025 [3] - The timing of the IPO coincides with a rare planetary alignment and Elon Musk's birthday on June 28, which adds significance to the event [3] Group 2: Business Valuation - The $1.5 trillion valuation has sparked discussions in the market, reflecting SpaceX's unique business structure of "existing cash flow and future imagination" [5] - The Starlink business is projected to contribute approximately $12.3 billion in revenue by 2025, accounting for nearly 80% of the company's total revenue [5] - Revenue is expected to rise further to between $22 billion and $24 billion in 2026, nearing NASA's annual budget [5] Group 3: Strategic Shift - Elon Musk has historically been cautious about going public due to concerns over short-term performance pressures affecting long-term goals for Mars colonization [7] - The shift towards an IPO is driven by increasing company valuation, the success of Starlink, and the need for substantial funding for projects like Starship development and Mars base construction [7] - The intensifying AI competition is also a factor, as Musk aims for SpaceX to go public before competitors like OpenAI and Anthropic [7] Group 4: Space Data Centers - The concept of space data centers, once considered science fiction, is becoming a key narrative supporting SpaceX's high valuation [9] - SpaceX has over 9,000 Starlink satellites in orbit, which could potentially be modified to host AI chips, creating a space-based computing network [9] Group 5: Market Impact - The IPO announcement has already caused ripples in the capital markets, with EchoStar's stock rising by 12% and Rocket Lab's stock increasing by 3.6% [11] - If successful, SpaceX's valuation would place it among the top global companies, alongside tech giants like Apple and Microsoft, marking a significant entry for the "space economy" into major indices [11] Group 6: Challenges Ahead - The path to IPO is not without challenges, as the timeline is considered tight, and the company must complete key processes like filing the S-1 registration statement with the SEC [13] - The scale of the fundraising effort, exceeding $50 billion, will test market capacity, as it surpasses the total IPO financing of the past eight years for U.S. exchanges [13] - Increased competition from companies like Blue Origin and Rocket Lab in the low Earth orbit satellite sector adds to the challenges [13]