'Elon Thinking Big,' Says Gene Munster As SpaceX Explores xAI–Tesla Tie-Up Ahead Of $1.5 Trillion IPO - Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA)

Core Viewpoint - Elon Musk is driving speculation about a potential merger involving SpaceX, xAI, and Tesla as SpaceX prepares for a significant IPO, potentially valued at $1.5 trillion [1][2]. Group 1: Merger Speculation - SpaceX is reportedly in discussions about a merger that could involve both Tesla and xAI, with an IPO targeted for June [2]. - Gene Munster estimates a 45% chance that Tesla will acquire xAI, a 35% chance that SpaceX will buy xAI, and a 20% chance that xAI will remain independent [3]. Group 2: Investment and Strategic Implications - Both SpaceX and Tesla have invested $2 billion each into xAI, indicating strong financial backing for the potential merger [4]. - Musk's strategy includes leveraging xAI for various applications, such as powering SpaceX's datacenters and enhancing Tesla's Full Self-Driving software and humanoid robot program [5]. Group 3: Market Reactions and Predictions - Prediction market Kalshi shows confidence that SpaceX will announce an IPO before mid-2026, reflecting investor optimism [7]. - Tesla shares experienced a decline of 3.23% to $416.57 but rebounded by 2.86% in overnight trading to $428.50, indicating volatility in market sentiment [7].