Core Viewpoint - UnitedHealth Group (NYSE: UNH) has shown a significant bullish technical signal with the formation of its first golden cross since July 2024, indicating potential recovery after a substantial earnings-driven decline [1][3]. Stock Performance - UNH stock has experienced a peak-to-trough decline of approximately 48%, trading around $287, down from highs above $550 in 2024 [2]. - The stock saw a sharp drop of about 20% in January 2026 following disappointing Q4 2025 earnings and a weaker outlook for 2026 [3]. Technical Indicators - The 50-day moving average recently crossed above the 200-day moving average, suggesting improving short-term momentum after a prolonged bearish trend [1][3]. - The $330–$350 price zone remains a critical resistance level that needs to be reclaimed for a sustainable trend reversal [4]. Financial Performance - UnitedHealth reported Q4 2025 revenue of $113.2 billion, which fell short of expectations by approximately $530 million [4]. - Although adjusted EPS of $2.11 met forecasts, the focus was on underlying weaknesses, particularly the 2026 revenue guidance projected at over $439 billion, significantly below the consensus of around $454 billion [5]. - This guidance indicates a rare year-over-year revenue decline from 2025's revenue of about $447.6 billion, challenging previous growth assumptions [6].
UnitedHealth flashes major bullish signal after catastrophic crash