江问樵：1.30黄金巨震后布局，下周操作建议

Core Viewpoint - The gold market experienced significant volatility, with London gold prices dropping over 10% in a single day, breaking the critical psychological level of 5000 and reaching a low of approximately 4682. However, after this sharp correction, the downward momentum is gradually weakening, indicating potential stabilization in the near term [1]. Group 1: Technical Analysis - The daily chart formed a clear top pattern, but the significant short-term pullback has led to a depletion of selling pressure from overbought positions, suggesting that the technical conditions are conducive for a rebound [1]. - The support level around 4950 aligns with the upper boundary of the key support zone of 4800-4900, which is also a reasonable retracement level within the previous upward trend [1]. - A short-term buying opportunity is identified near the 4950 level, with a target price of approximately 5200, reflecting both short-term recovery logic and mid-term upward trend expectations [1]. Group 2: Market Sentiment and Influences - The sharp decline in gold prices was attributed to multiple negative factors converging, including hawkish signals from the Federal Reserve and the nomination of a hawkish candidate for the Fed chair, which triggered a rebound in the US dollar [1]. - Despite the recent downturn, the trend of global central banks purchasing gold continues, and the de-dollarization trend remains unchanged, with major institutions still optimistic about a long-term bull market for gold [1]. - As the short-term negative sentiment dissipates, there is an expectation for capital to flow back into gold, reinforcing the rationale for buying near the 4950 level [1].