Bei Jing Shang Bao·2026-02-01 12:53Core Viewpoint - The performance of A-share pharmaceutical stocks in 2025 shows a mixed outlook, with 283 companies disclosing earnings forecasts, where 160 companies expect profit growth while over 120 companies anticipate profit declines, indicating a significant divergence in the industry [1][3]. Group 1: Profit Growth - Among the 283 pharmaceutical stocks, 160 companies are expected to see a year-on-year increase in net profit, with Sino Medical (688108) leading the pack with a projected increase of over 32 times [1][3]. - Sino Medical forecasts a net profit of 43 million to 50 million yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 2,767% to 3,233% [3]. - Other notable companies with significant profit growth include WuXi AppTec, Hanyu Pharmaceutical, and Kangxino, with 65 companies projecting a net profit increase of over 100% [3][4]. Group 2: Profit Decline - Over 120 companies are expected to report a decline in net profit for 2025, with 39 companies facing their first losses since listing, including well-known firms like Zhifei Biological and Zhenbao Island [1][5]. - Zhifei Biological anticipates a net loss of approximately 10.698 billion to 13.726 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year decline of 630% to 780% [6][7]. - The decline in the vaccine sector is attributed to decreased public willingness to vaccinate and increased vaccine hesitancy, leading to significant performance pressure across the industry [7][8]. Group 3: Innovative Drug Companies - Several innovative drug companies are reporting positive trends, with some achieving profitability or significantly reducing losses. For instance, Nocren Pharmaceutical is expected to turn a profit for the first time, projecting a net profit of around 633 million yuan [10]. - Rongchang Biopharmaceutical is also expected to turn a profit, with a projected net profit of approximately 716 million yuan, driven by strong sales of core products [10]. - Companies like Junshi Biosciences and Amgen have not yet achieved profitability but are showing a clear trend of reduced losses, indicating a gradual transition towards commercialization and revenue growth in the innovative drug sector [11].