Palantir(PLTR.US)高增长已定，估值与指引成关键变量

Core Insights - Palantir Technologies Inc. is set to release its Q4 2025 financial report on February 2, 2026, with expected revenue of approximately $1.34 billion, a year-over-year increase of about 62%, and adjusted EPS of $0.23, reflecting a 64.3% growth [1] - The anticipated revenue growth is primarily driven by increasing demand for artificial intelligence technologies from both government and commercial sectors, with government revenue expected to reach $707.2 million (up 55.4% year-over-year) and commercial revenue projected at $646.2 million (up 73.5%) [1] - The strong growth is likely supported by the trust placed in Palantir's Artificial Intelligence Platform (AIP) by U.S. government and private organizations, enabling them to process vast amounts of data and gain real-time insights [1] Group 1 - The collaboration between Palantir and the U.S. government, including a $448 million Navy contract, is a significant support for the stock price amid expectations of increased defense spending [2] - Investors are particularly focused on management's guidance for the full year 2026, which will determine the stock's potential for further appreciation given its current high valuation [2] - AIP is especially valuable in sectors requiring large-scale data integration, such as defense, healthcare, finance, and intelligence, where operational efficiency and decision-making speed are critical [2] Group 2 - The recent launch of the AI Hivemind tool, which organizes dynamically generated agents to solve problems and generate actionable proposals, is expected to further stimulate demand for digital and modernization services among clients [2] - Palantir's stock has risen approximately 78% in 2025, with the options market anticipating a potential price volatility of up to 9% following the earnings report [2] - The company's earnings surprise history has been strong, with three out of the last four quarters exceeding Zacks consensus estimates and an average surprise of 16.3% [3]