Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2026-02-02 08:37Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that WH Group (万洲国际) is experiencing stabilization in the Chinese market with a recovery in sales, expecting low single-digit growth in packaged meat sales by Q4 2025, driven by the expansion of professional distributors and emerging retail channels [1] - The average selling price may see a slight year-on-year decline due to the introduction of more affordable products, but profitability per ton is expected to remain stable due to lower pork costs [1] - For 2026, management aims for mid-single-digit sales growth, supported by improved price differentials and product mix optimization to drive profit growth [1] Group 2 - In the U.S. market, momentum continues with a reduction in hog farming capacity to 11.5 million heads, which is expected to enhance profit margins, alongside favorable pork prices projected to rise by 9% in 2025 and lower feed costs, supporting double-digit growth in operating profit for Q4 [1] - In 2026, packaged meat sales are expected to grow moderately, as pork remains a more affordable protein source compared to beef; pricing power, product mix optimization, and ongoing efficiency improvements may drive mid-single-digit growth in operating profit [1] - The firm has raised its earnings forecast for FY2026 by 2% based on improved profit outlooks in the U.S. and Europe [1]