沃什提名成金银价格暴跌导火索，恐波及更多市场

Core Viewpoint - The nomination of Kevin Warsh as the next Federal Reserve Chairman by Trump has led to a significant market reassessment of the dollar and dollar-denominated assets, resulting in a sharp decline in gold and silver prices, marking the largest single-day drop since the early 1980s, with a total market value loss of $7.4 trillion [2][5][6]. Group 1: Market Reactions - The market is forced to reevaluate the dollar as Warsh prepares to take over the Fed, with the dollar index rising by 0.8% after a previous decline of 2.1% in January [5]. - Analysts suggest that the nomination may lead to short-term panic in the U.S. stock market, but a clearer situation is expected shortly after Warsh's appointment [5]. - The nomination is seen as alleviating concerns about the politicization of the Fed, leading to a short-term increase in the dollar and a slight steepening of the yield curve [5][9]. Group 2: Impact on Precious Metals - The return of dollar trading has triggered a correction in the previously crowded precious metals market, particularly for gold and silver [6]. - Recent data indicates that gold purchases have been primarily driven by individual investors, with a significant increase in bullish positions and record levels of call options, creating a speculative bubble [9][11]. - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange has raised margin requirements for gold and silver futures, which may force high-leverage investors to exit the market, further reducing liquidity in precious metals [10]. Group 3: Broader Market Implications - The sell-off in gold and silver is expected to spill over into other markets, leading to a deleveraging effect that could force investors to sell other assets to cover losses in precious metals [11]. - Following the decline in precious metals, U.S. stock index futures and Bitcoin have also experienced downward pressure, indicating a broader market impact [11].