AI predicts Palantir stock price after Q4 2025 earnings

Core Viewpoint - Palantir Technologies is preparing to report its fourth-quarter 2025 earnings, with high expectations from investors regarding its valuation and performance, particularly in relation to its AI platform and commercial adoption [1]. Financial Performance - Management has guided fourth-quarter revenue to be between $1.327 billion and $1.331 billion, indicating approximately 61% year-over-year growth [2]. - The full-year revenue forecast has been raised to between $4.396 billion and $4.4 billion, reflecting strong demand for its AI-driven software across both government and commercial sectors [2]. - Wall Street estimates align with this outlook, projecting fourth-quarter revenue of about $1.34 billion, which represents a 61.9% increase year-over-year, and earnings per share of $0.23, a rise of over 64% [3]. Stock Price Predictions - Predictions suggest that Palantir's stock may experience volatility post-earnings, with an initial positive reaction expected, potentially pushing the stock price to the $150 to $155 range shortly after the earnings report [4][5]. - However, this initial strength may fade as investors reassess the company's valuation, leading to a possible consolidation range between $135 and $145 in subsequent sessions [6]. - A bearish scenario could see shares retreating to the $125 to $135 range if forward guidance does not exceed market expectations [7]. - Conversely, a bullish outcome would require a significant earnings beat and strong guidance for 2026, which could drive the stock above $160, potentially reaching the $170 area [8]. Analyst Sentiment - Wall Street analysts maintain a cautious stance on Palantir, with a consensus 'Hold' rating based on 18 analyst reviews, indicating a mix of optimism and valuation concerns [9]. - The average 12-month price target is set at $189.94, suggesting a 29.6% upside from the current share price, with bullish analysts predicting a rise to $235 and the most bearish outlook projecting a drop to $50 [11].