Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2026-02-03 03:58Core Viewpoint - UBS reports that the recent VAT adjustment by China's three major telecom operators will have a significant negative impact on their profitability, as the affected services account for 45% to 60% of their projected service revenue for 2025 [1] Group 1: VAT Adjustment Impact - The VAT rate for mobile data, SMS/MMS, and internet broadband services will increase from 6% to 9% starting January 1 of this year [1] - The service revenue of telecom operators is expected to be impacted by approximately 1.5% to 2% due to this VAT adjustment [1] Group 2: Profitability Forecast - Assuming a corporate income tax rate of 25% and not considering other costs or tax deductions, the net profit impact for China Mobile, China Telecom, and China Unicom is estimated to be around 9%, 17.9%, and 18.2% respectively for 2025 [1] Group 3: Strategic Response - The three major telecom operators will continue to enhance operational efficiency, focus on high-quality development, and accelerate their transformation towards emerging fields such as artificial intelligence and cloud services to mitigate the impact of the tax rate increase [1]