BABA(HK:09988) 智通财经网·2026-02-03 07:59Core Insights - The global AIDC demand continues to grow rapidly, with positive signals from cloud vendors regarding capital expenditure, business promotion, and pricing strategies. The price increase and expansion of AI spending are reshaping the AIDC industry logic, enhancing the return expectations of computing assets and elevating the industry's scale ceiling, transitioning AIDC from a heavy asset industry to a core infrastructure sector with high barriers and certainty [1][5]. Group 1: Market Trends - The global cloud computing market is expected to grow from approximately $1.29 trillion in 2025 to about $2.28 trillion by 2030, with a CAGR of around 12%. However, supply-side constraints are evident, as the prices of storage chips and CPUs are rising, leading to increased cloud service costs [1][2]. - NAND flash prices are predicted to rise by 33% to 38% in Q4 2025, with similar increases expected in Q1 of the same year. Additionally, Intel and AMD plan to raise server CPU prices by 10-15%. Energy costs are also rising, with U.S. electricity costs increasing by 6.7% year-on-year in December last year, cumulatively up by about 38% since 2020 [2]. Group 2: Competitive Landscape - The domestic AI model competition is accelerating the deployment of computing infrastructure, with companies like DeepSeek, Kimi, and Alibaba launching model upgrades that highlight the significant demand for training and inference computing power. The focus of competition has shifted from individual model performance to the overall capability of computing supply and system engineering efficiency [3]. - In the application layer, competition is intensifying, with Tencent's Yuanbao rapidly increasing its user base by integrating the DeepSeekR1 model and leveraging extensive marketing resources. This growth is expected to translate into high-frequency demand for backend intelligent computing centers and high-speed networks, further accelerating the deployment and upgrade of related technologies [4]. Group 3: Industry Outlook - The AIDC industry is likely entering a structurally expanding cycle with high barriers. Innovations such as liquid cooling and high-density power supply solutions are penetrating the market, addressing the technical challenges posed by the increase in power consumption per rack from traditional 5-15 kW to 200 kW. The domestic chip ecosystem is maturing, with Alibaba's "Zhenwu 810E" performance matching international mainstream products, facilitating the optimization of the domestic computing system [5]. - The AIDC market is expected to expand at a compound annual growth rate of 31.5%, with the core barriers of the industry shifting from capital investment to technology integration and operational efficiency. The price increases from cloud vendors and the expansion of AI spending are jointly reshaping the AIDC industry logic, benefiting leading companies with technological iteration capabilities and resource integration efficiency [5]. Group 4: Investment Recommendations - Suggested investment targets include: 1. Cloud Computing: Alibaba-W (09988), Cloudflare (NET.US), Shenxinfu (300454.SZ), Kingsoft Cloud (03896), New Intent Group (01688), and UCloud (688158.SH) [6]. 2. AIDC: Runze Technology (300442.SZ), Baoxin Software (600845.SH), Data Port (603881.SH), Guanghuan New Network (300383.SZ), Aofei Data (300738.SZ), and Yunsai Zhili (600602.SH) [6]. 3. Computing Power Services: Xiechuang Data (300857.SZ), Hongjing Technology (301396.SZ), Dawi Technology (600589.SH), Youfang Technology (688159.SH), Litong Electronics (603629.SH), Zhiwei Intelligent (001339.SZ), and Coreweave (CRWV.US) [6]. 4. CDN: Wangsu Technology (300017.SZ) [7]. 5. Chips: Haiguang Information (688041.SH), Cambrian-U (688256.SH), Muxi Shares-U (688802.SH), Tianshu Zhixin (09903), Moer Thread-U (688795.SH), and Longxin Zhongke (688047.SH) [7]. 6. Large Models: Minimax-WP (00100), Zhipu (02513), and iFlytek (002230.SZ) [7].