金晟富：2.4黄金抄底如期大涨！日内黄金关注小非农影响

Core Viewpoint - The gold market in 2025 has shown significant growth and resilience, with a strong rebound in prices driven by geopolitical tensions and investor demand for safe-haven assets. The market is expected to continue its bullish trend into 2026 despite potential short-term fluctuations [1][2]. Market Dynamics - Recent geopolitical events, including the U.S. military's engagement with an Iranian drone, have heightened the appeal of gold as a safe-haven asset, leading to a sharp increase in prices [1]. - Gold prices surged over 6% in a single day, marking the largest daily increase since 2008, with current prices around $5061 per ounce [1][2]. Technical Analysis - The recent price movement from $4400 to a peak of $5050 indicates a recovery of half of the previous decline, with expectations for further increases towards $5300 [3][5]. - The technical indicators suggest a bullish trend, with the daily chart showing consecutive upward movements breaking through key resistance levels [5]. Fundamental Factors - The underlying fundamentals for gold remain strong, with factors such as inflation pressures, geopolitical risks, and a weakening U.S. dollar expected to support higher prices in the long term [2][6]. - The recent U.S. government shutdown and the delay in economic data releases have contributed to increased uncertainty, further driving demand for gold as a hedge [2]. Investment Strategies - Suggested strategies include buying on dips around $4920-$4950 with a target of $5100-$5200, while also considering short positions around $5250-$5270 [6]. - Investors are advised to monitor upcoming economic data releases, such as the U.S. ADP employment figures, which could impact market sentiment and gold prices [2][6].