This High-Yield Dividend Stock Just Crushed Earnings. Here's Why 2026 Could Be Even Better.

Core Viewpoint - United Parcel Service (UPS) is undergoing a turnaround, with recent quarterly earnings suggesting potential for improvement despite mixed results [1][5]. Financial Performance - In Q4 2025, UPS reported total revenue of $24.5 billion, a decline of 3.2% from $25.3 billion in Q4 2024 [4]. - Total operating earnings fell to $2.6 billion, down 12% from $2.9 billion year-over-year [4]. - Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) decreased by 13.5% to $2.38 from $2.75 in the previous year [4]. Dividend Information - UPS maintained its quarterly cash dividend at $1.64 per share, ending a 16-year streak of dividend growth [4]. - The current dividend yield stands at 6.2%, which is seen as a positive sign amidst concerns of potential cuts [7]. Future Outlook - UPS's guidance for 2026 projects revenue of $89.7 billion, surpassing analysts' estimates of $88 billion [7]. - The company anticipates an operating margin of 9.6%, translating to operating profits of $8.6 billion, a 9.3% improvement from 2025 [7]. - Long-term earnings estimates suggest EPS could reach $8.11 by 2027, with current trading at approximately 14 times forward earnings [9]. Market Reaction - Despite the lackluster performance, UPS exceeded Wall Street's expectations, which anticipated revenue of $24 billion and EPS of $2.20 [6]. - The stock price has increased from $82 to $110, indicating potential for further gains [8].