“10年后，中国商飞将与波音、空客三分天下”

Core Viewpoint - The 2026 Singapore Airshow marks a significant opportunity for COMAC to showcase its C919 and C909 aircraft, positioning itself as a competitor to Airbus and Boeing in the rapidly growing Asia-Pacific aviation market [1][5]. Group 1: Market Context - The Asia-Pacific region is experiencing pressure on airlines due to delivery delays from Boeing and Airbus, engine shortages, and broader supply chain issues, creating a demand for additional aircraft manufacturers [5][6]. - IATA reports that the wait time for new aircraft deliveries is longer than ever, leading to an increase in the average age of fleets and higher operational costs due to older aircraft consuming more fuel [5]. Group 2: Competitive Positioning - COMAC aims to compete directly with Airbus A320neo and Boeing 737 MAX, with a focus on expanding its market presence beyond China, particularly in Southeast Asia [1][5]. - Industry experts, including IATA's Director General Willie Walsh, predict that COMAC could become a significant player alongside Boeing and Airbus within the next 10 to 15 years [3]. Group 3: Production and Delivery Goals - COMAC is reportedly improving the production and delivery pace of the C919, with a target of delivering no fewer than 28 aircraft in 2026, aiming for a production rate of one aircraft every 10 to 15 days [6]. - As of now, COMAC has delivered over 200 aircraft and opened more than 800 routes, transporting over 36 million passengers [8]. Group 4: Regulatory Developments - The Civil Aviation Administration of China has proposed regulations allowing the C919 to operate on narrow runways typically used by smaller airports, which could enhance its competitiveness against Airbus and Boeing [9]. - The European Union Aviation Safety Agency (EASA) has begun flight evaluations of the C919 in Shanghai, indicating a positive outlook on the aircraft's performance and safety [8].