Group 1 - Bitcoin price has declined to its lowest level since President Trump took office, currently around $73,200, representing a 40% drop from its peak of over $126,000 last October [1] - The Polymarket platform indicates a bearish sentiment among investors, with an 82% implied probability of Bitcoin dropping to $65,000 this year, and a 60% chance of it falling below $55,000 [1][4] - The overall cryptocurrency market capitalization has decreased significantly to approximately $2.5 trillion from over $4 trillion last October, indicating a substantial market contraction [4] Group 2 - There has been a notable reduction in inflows to cryptocurrency ETFs, with nearly $4 billion net outflow from U.S. listed crypto ETFs over the past three months, leading to a lack of new demand [5] - Analysts highlight that the current market sentiment is predominantly bearish, with traders increasingly pessimistic about Bitcoin's performance as it has failed to act as a safe-haven asset [4] - Contrasting views exist within the market, as some analysts still predict a potential rebound for Bitcoin, with estimates suggesting it could reach $150,000 by year-end, despite recent downward trends [5]
比特币持续暴跌 预测市场押注今年跌至6.5万美元概率高达82%
Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2026-02-04 22:20