Alphabet resets the bar for AI infrastructure spending

Core Insights - Alphabet Inc. exceeded Wall Street expectations for its fourth quarter, but concerns over high anticipated spending on artificial intelligence infrastructure tempered market enthusiasm [1][2] Financial Performance - Alphabet reported strong performance metrics, surpassing expectations in revenue, earnings per share, and cloud revenue, yet its shares declined in after-hours trading due to sensitivity around AI spending [2] - The company projected capital expenditures for 2026 to be between $175 billion and $185 billion, which would be more than double its 2025 capex [2][3] Market Context - Alphabet's spending forecast for 2026 is significantly higher than those of its peers, indicating a reset in expectations for capital expenditures [3] - In comparison, Microsoft reported a capex of $37.5 billion for the latest period but did not provide a specific forecast for the upcoming year, while Meta expects to spend between $115 billion and $135 billion in 2026 [4] Industry Trends - The software sector has seen a 30% decline in value over the last three months, attributed to concerns that AI tools may disrupt existing software solutions, making higher spending riskier [6] - Despite the overall market hesitance, tech companies are actively investing in infrastructure to meet the growing demand for AI services [7] Cloud Business Performance - Google's cloud unit, which includes most of its AI products, experienced a backlog increase of 55% sequentially and more than double year-over-year, reaching $240 billion by the end of the fourth quarter [8] - Cloud revenue for Google saw a nearly 48% increase compared to the previous year [8]