人民币兑美元中间价报6.9570下调37点，降幅创2025年11月18日以来最大！美联储3月维持利率不变的概率为90.1%

Group 1 - The central bank of China set the RMB to USD midpoint at 6.9570, marking a decrease of 37 points, the largest drop since November 18, 2025 [2] Group 2 - The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged in March is 90.1%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 9.9% [4] - By April, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut rises to 23.2%, with a 75.1% chance of maintaining rates [4] - The likelihood of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut by June is 46.0% [4]