Economic Activity Index - The China High-Frequency Economic Activity Index (YHEI) as of February 3, 2026, is 1.40, an increase of 0.25 from January 27. Key contributors to this rise include the "import dry bulk freight index" and the "30-city commodity housing sales index," which increased by 0.29 and 0.16 respectively [1][4]. Manufacturing Sector - The manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for January is 49.3%, down 0.8 percentage points from the previous month. Large enterprises maintain a PMI of 50.3%, while medium and small enterprises are at 48.7% and 47.4% respectively [20]. - High-tech manufacturing and equipment manufacturing PMIs remain in the expansion zone at 52.0% and 50.1% respectively [20]. Supply and Demand Indicators - The production index decreased by 1.1 percentage points to 50.6%, while the new orders index fell from 50.8% to 49.2%, and the new export orders index dropped from 49.0% to 47.8% [2][20]. - The purchasing volume index decreased from 51.1% to 48.7%, indicating weakened demand for raw materials [2][20]. Non-Manufacturing Sector - The non-manufacturing business activity index is at 49.4%, down 0.8 percentage points and in the contraction zone. The construction and service sector PMIs are at 48.8% and 49.5% respectively [21]. Price Indices - The main raw material purchasing price index increased by 3.0 percentage points to 56.1%, the highest level since June 2024. The factory price index rose from 48.9% to 50.6% [2][20]. Financial Market Indicators - The central bank's net fund injection through open market operations is 138.3 billion yuan, with a reverse repurchase amount of 1.3895 trillion yuan [7]. - The overnight interbank rate decreased by 5 basis points to 1.43%, while the seven-day repo rate fell by 7 basis points to 1.56% [11][12]. Real Estate Market - New housing transaction areas in first, second, and third-tier cities increased by 8.7%, 30.87%, and 50.31% respectively, while second-hand housing transaction areas decreased by 3.47%, 5.73%, and 34.4% [33]. Commodity Prices - Steel billet prices decreased by 0.34% week-on-week and year-on-year, while cement prices fell by 0.80% week-on-week and 18.57% year-on-year [22]. - The coal price remained stable at 685 yuan/ton, with an increase in the number of vessels at the Qinhuangdao anchorage [26].
1月高技术制造业和装备制造业PMI维持在扩张区间 | 高频看宏观
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2026-02-05 11:16