Core Viewpoint - The "delivery difficulty" risk in the real estate industry has been largely resolved, with many real estate companies reporting significant progress in fulfilling their delivery commitments by 2025 [1][2][3]. Group 1: Delivery Progress - As of the end of the "14th Five-Year Plan," approximately 7.5 million units of "sold but undelivered" housing have been delivered nationwide, with major companies like Country Garden delivering around 1.85 million units [1][3]. - Greenland Holdings announced that its residential projects will deliver over 8 million square meters in 2025, translating to about 80,000 units, with cumulative deliveries from 2022 to 2024 reaching approximately 760,000 units [2]. - Sunac Group reported cumulative deliveries of over 720,000 units from 2022 to 2025, indicating that its delivery work is nearing completion [2]. Group 2: Risk Mitigation and Policy Direction - The national housing and urban-rural development meeting confirmed that the delivery tasks will be fully completed by 2025, with a delivery rate of 99% for the 3.96 million units targeted [3]. - A systematic risk mitigation action has been ongoing for about three years, with collaboration among national, provincial, and municipal levels to ensure responsibilities are met [4]. - The focus has shifted towards debt resolution, asset management, and revitalizing existing land, as many companies begin to recover their "self-sustaining" capabilities [6][7]. Group 3: Future Development Model - The central economic work conference emphasized the need to stabilize the real estate market and transition to a new development model, moving away from high leverage and high turnover [8][9]. - The upcoming "15th Five-Year Plan" aims to promote high-quality development in real estate, addressing risk prevention and enhancing housing supply structures [8]. - The Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development plans to solidify foundational systems in development, financing, and sales, gradually implementing a "see-and-buy" sales system [9]. Group 4: Market Recovery Signals - Despite the overall real estate sales not fully stabilizing, some key cities have shown early signs of recovery since the fourth quarter of 2025, supported by strong fundamentals and better supply structures [10].