确定性，才是中国经济的稀缺品

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes that certainty is a scarce commodity in the Chinese economy, advocating for a shift from merely stabilizing to creating sustainable growth momentum [4][17]. Economic Performance - Over the past five years, China's economic output has consistently crossed significant thresholds, reaching 110, 120, 130, and 140 trillion yuan, with manufacturing value added maintaining the world's top position for 16 consecutive years [6]. - The focus is on long-term stability rather than short-term speed, likening the economy to a robust net that can withstand external shocks [7]. Consumer Demand - The real breakthrough for the economy lies in domestic demand, with the article questioning not whether to consume, but rather the willingness and capability to do so [9]. - Policies are shifting from merely issuing consumption vouchers to enhancing supply, such as promoting high-efficiency and intelligent upgrades through trade-in programs [10]. Technological Integration - New productive forces are not just theoretical but are becoming integral to daily life, enhancing customer service, infrastructure like charging stations, and creating higher-paying jobs [13]. - The upgrade of traditional industries serves as a foundation, while new technologies act as accelerators, supported by patient capital in a long-term investment approach [14]. Openness and Market Dynamics - The article notes a 30% year-on-year increase in inbound and outbound travelers in Hainan's first month of customs clearance, with international institutions raising growth forecasts for 2026 by 0.3 percentage points [15]. - The combination of a unified market and institutional openness is reducing friction costs for businesses, indicating a calculated approach rather than an emotional response [16]. Conclusion - Certainty can be constructed as a competitive advantage, and transforming stability into progress will help the Chinese economy avoid being swayed by emotional fluctuations [17][18].