英国央行调查：1月雇主对薪资涨幅的预期略微降温

Group 1 - The Bank of England's survey indicates a further cooling in employers' wage growth expectations in January, with the forecast for the next year dropping by 0.1 percentage points to 3.6%, matching the lowest level since 2022 [1] - Employers' expectations for price increases also slightly decreased, falling by 0.1 percentage points to 3.5% over the three months ending in January [1] - The Bank of England maintained the interest rate at 3.75%, with market expectations for one or two 25 basis point rate cuts in 2026 [1] Group 2 - Despite the overall inflation rate in the UK rising to 3.4% in December, the Bank of England noted potential for further rate cuts this year if the anticipated sharp decline in inflation starting in April proves to be sustained [1] - Employers' expectations for overall inflation for the next year were reported at 3.2%, down from 3.4% in the previous survey conducted in December [1] - The survey also revealed that employers expect a reduction in employment levels by 0.2% over the next year, an improvement from the previous expectation of a 0.4% decline [1]