PPI将或将重回正增长通道,石化行业配置价值凸显,石化ETF(159731)强势上行
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2026-02-06 03:31

Group 1 - The China Petroleum and Chemical Industry Index rose by 2.18% as of February 6, with the largest petrochemical ETF (159731) increasing by 2.02%. The ETF saw a net inflow of over 1.437 billion yuan in the last 20 trading days, indicating significant capital inflow [1] - UBS noted that amid a backdrop of low profitability in the global chemical industry, high-cost overseas production capacity is exiting the market. The current P/BV valuation of 1.5 times for the Chinese chemical industry is at the 43rd percentile over the past 20 years [1] - Active equity funds are expected to increase their allocation to the chemical sector, which is currently at a 10-year low, with a recovery anticipated by Q4 2025. Historical data shows that when PPI turns positive year-on-year, the chemical sector tends to achieve excess returns [1] - UBS's macro team predicts that PPI will return to positive growth between the end of 2026 and early 2027, highlighting the investment value in the industry [1] Group 2 - The petrochemical ETF (159731) and its linked funds (017855/017856) closely track the China Petroleum and Chemical Industry Index, benefiting from both basic chemicals and oil & petrochemicals. The ETF includes high-dividend and high-growth assets [1] - Key weighted stocks in the ETF include Wanhua Chemical (global leader in MDI), China Petroleum (domestic oil and gas leader), Sinopec (domestic refining leader), and Salt Lake Potash (domestic potash fertilizer leader) [1]

PPI将或将重回正增长通道,石化行业配置价值凸显,石化ETF(159731)强势上行 - Reportify