有辆30指数2026年首月大涨近20%，折射春节前二手车需求强劲

Core Insights - The "Youliang 30 Used Car Wholesale Index" recorded a significant increase of 19.7% month-on-month in January 2026, reaching 85 points, driven by strong demand in the automotive consumption market before the Spring Festival, marking the largest monthly increase since its inception [1] - The index now includes a complete list of 30 benchmark models, enhancing its transparency and market reference value, providing a clearer and more credible quantitative framework for observing the dynamics of the Chinese used car market [1][2] Index Composition - The 30 benchmark models represent high liquidity and typical market indicators across various segments, covering brands from China, the US, Germany, and Japan, aimed at reflecting the overall trends in the Chinese used car market [2] - Notable models include Chinese brands like Great Wall Haval H6 and BYD Song, German brands like Volkswagen Golf and BMW 3 Series, Japanese brands like Honda CR-V and Toyota RAV4, and American brands like Tesla Model Y and Buick GL8 [2] Market Trends - The index data for January 2026 reveals a profound structural adjustment beneath the overall market prosperity, with mid-to-large vehicles experiencing a price increase of 27.1% year-on-year, significantly higher than the average market increase of 11.1% for compact cars [4] - Chinese brands led the market with a year-on-year price increase of 36.9%, reflecting advancements in technology, product strength, and market recognition, while German brands maintained a robust 34.6% increase [7] - In contrast, Korean and French brands faced declines of 9.0% and 13.8% respectively, indicating challenges in market share and brand influence [7] Vehicle Type Dynamics - The market has seen a notable shift in demand, with MPV prices soaring by 35.7%, becoming the fastest-growing category, while traditional SUV prices saw a modest increase of 3.2% and sedans increased by 18.6% [10] Circulation and Transactions - The liquidity of used car sources in China continues to rise, with total used car transactions in 2026 surpassing 20 million units, reaching 20.108 million, a year-on-year increase of 2.52%, and an increasing proportion of interprovincial transactions [13] - The "Youliang 30 Index" provides innovative analysis on interprovincial circulation, with Sichuan province entering the top 5 in interprovincial procurement in January 2026 [13] Index Value and Macro Significance - The "Youliang 30 Index" serves as a quantifiable and traceable "data dashboard" for industry governance and market fluctuation assessment, helping relevant departments gauge the true structure of the current consumption market and consumer confidence levels [22] - The index's monthly data series creates a dynamic price map, allowing for scientific measurement and analysis of the impact of policies like "trade-in" on the circulation segment [22] - The transparency and standardization of the "Youliang 30 Index" respond to national requirements for market data element commercialization and the establishment of a high-standard market system, facilitating the transition of the used car industry from a traditional "experience-driven" model to a "data-driven" modernized development phase [22]