Core Viewpoint - Luguang Technology has submitted an application for listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, but the market reaction has been lukewarm, with the company's stock price declining by 13.2% over four consecutive trading days following the announcement [1][15]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2023-2025, Luguang Technology reported total revenues of 4.801 billion yuan, 6.166 billion yuan, and 6.361 billion yuan, with corresponding net profits of 394 million yuan, 460 million yuan, and 467 million yuan [1][15]. - The forecast for the full year of 2025 indicates a net profit range of 653 million to 733 million yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 41.3% to 58.6% [1][15]. Revenue Growth Drivers - The company's overseas market revenue grew from 888 million yuan in 2019 to 3.544 billion yuan in 2024, with a compound annual growth rate of 25.9%, accounting for 57.5% of total revenue [2][16]. - The NAS (Network Attached Storage) business has also contributed significantly, with revenue from consumer-grade NAS products increasing from 92.79 million yuan to 391 million yuan from 2019 to 2024, achieving a compound annual growth rate of approximately 27.0% [2][16]. Market Share - In the first three quarters of 2025, revenue from smart storage products increased by 167% compared to the same period in 2024, with its contribution to total revenue surpassing 10% for the first time [3][17]. - Luguang Technology holds the largest market share in the consumer-grade NAS market, with shares of 20.6% and 17.5% in terms of shipment volume and sales, respectively [3][17]. Profitability Concerns - The reliance on e-commerce platforms, particularly Amazon, has led to increased service fees, which rose from 128 million yuan to 469 million yuan from 2019 to 2024, impacting profit margins [4][16]. - Sales expenses increased by 51.3% to 1.28 billion yuan in the first nine months of 2025, with the sales expense ratio reaching a record high of 20.1% [4][18]. Inventory and Cash Flow Issues - As of September 30, 2025, Luguang Technology's inventory value reached 1.816 billion yuan, a 47.1% increase from the end of 2024, representing 43.4% of current assets [6][20]. - The net cash flow from operating activities plummeted by 98.7% to 5.878 million yuan during the same period, raising concerns about liquidity [6][20]. Shareholder Activity - Major shareholders have been reducing their stakes, with over 1 billion yuan in shares sold in a short period, signaling potential concerns about the company's future performance [10][24]. - High-profile investors, including Hillhouse Capital, have engaged in significant share transfers, further indicating a lack of confidence among insiders [10][25].
绿联科技A+H：利润率承压、现金流骤降 大股东五个月内减持超10亿