商业贸易行业 行业研究 | 动态跟踪 关税缓和，看好跨境电商 核心观点 投资建议与投资标的 投资建议：出海是一门长期主义的征程，跨境电商在外贸中的渗透率正持续提升，继续 看好板块中业绩韧性强的头部企业以及业绩边际改善的品种。 跨境 B2B：相关标的：小商品城(600415，未评级)、焦点科技(002315，未评级)。 跨境 B2C：相关标的：安克创新(300866，未评级)、绿联科技(301606，未评级)、致欧 科技(301376，未评级)、吉宏股份(002803，未评级)、华凯易佰(300592，未评级)。 其他出海链：苏美达(600710，未评级)。 风险提示 关税政策变动、行业竞争加剧等。 国家/地区 中国 行业 商业贸易行业 报告发布日期 2025 年 11 月 06 日 看好（维持） 陈笑 执业证书编号：S0860525100005 chenxiao2@orientsec.com.cn 有关分析师的申明，见本报告最后部分。其他重要信息披露见分析师申明之后部分，或请与您的投资代表联系。并请阅读本证券研究报告最后一页的免责申明。 021-63326320 ⚫ 中美经贸团队通过吉隆坡磋商，达成成果共识。 ...

（原标题：创业板公司融资余额减少11.19亿元 39股遭减仓超5%） 创业板股最新融资余额为5249.08亿元，环比减少11.19亿元，36只股融资余额环比增长超10%，融资余 额环比降幅超5%的有39只。 证券时报·数据宝统计显示，11月5日创业板指上涨1.03%，创业板股两融余额合计5267.78亿元，较上一 交易日减少11.03亿元，其中，融资余额合计5249.08亿元，环比上一日减少11.19亿元；融券余额18.69亿 元，环比增加1563.09万元。 具体来看，融资余额增长的创业板股有455只，其中，36股融资余额增幅超过10%。增幅最大的是众捷 汽车，该股最新融资余额7614.73万元，环比上一交易日增幅为41.71%；股价表现上，该股当日下跌 1.30%，表现弱于创业板指；融资余额增幅较多的还有鹏辉能源、美信科技等，分别增长39.18%、 38.90%。 | | 态 | | | | | 饰 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 301136 | 招标股 | 10081.47 | 18.09 | 15.59 | 1.63 | 建筑装 | | ...

Group 1: Company Performance - The company achieved a revenue of 1.40 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 62.36%[1] - The net profit for 2025 is projected to be 640 million yuan, with a growth rate of 127% compared to 2024[1] - The EPS for 2025 is expected to be 0.2, up from 0.1 in 2024[1] Group 2: Market Trends - The AI-enabled revenue has become a core driver of performance, with significant contributions from products like AI-MDT reports and lung cancer screening[1] - The company is expanding its product matrix with new AI-driven health management products, indicating a strong focus on innovation[1] Group 3: Strategic Initiatives - The company is implementing an "All in AI" strategy, which has shown significant operational improvements and efficiency gains[1] - Collaborations with major tech firms like Alibaba for developing innovative screening products highlight the company's commitment to leveraging AI technology[1] Group 4: Risks and Challenges - Potential risks include ongoing industry policy impacts, declining customer prices, and the possibility of AI application not meeting expectations[1] - The company faces competition in the AI healthcare space, which may affect its market position and growth trajectory[1]

Core Insights - The retail monitoring by AVC indicates a general decline in major appliances since September, with a significant drop in retail for cleaning appliances in October, although there is still substantial growth compared to the same period in 2023 [1][2] - The industry has anticipated these trends, as evidenced by production data showing a cautious attitude with air conditioning production down by -11.5%, -8.4%, and -9.9% for October, November, and December respectively compared to the previous year [1][2] - The demand for appliance upgrades is expected to be the main driver, with short-term impacts from subsidy exhaustion; however, the penetration rate of cleaning appliances continues to rise, suggesting growth potential in the retail market through 2026 [1][2] Market Trends - The consumer electronics market is highly competitive, with Xiaomi upgrading its air conditioning warranty to 10 years, which has helped maintain its retail market share despite negative publicity from its automotive ventures [3] - The smart lawn mower market is gaining attention, with multiple companies entering, leading to intense competition; major players in the vacuum market have also launched similar products [3] - DJI is aggressively pricing its action cameras and drones, likely in response to competition from other brands entering the drone market [3] Company Performance - Ugreen Technology has benefited from a surge in demand for power banks following safety incidents, reporting a revenue of 2.51 billion yuan in Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 60.4% [4] Export Market Dynamics - The export market is seeing a shift in production capacity, with a recovery in heat pump exports; the U.S. has announced additional tariffs on Chinese imports, prompting companies to accelerate global production strategies [5] - Data indicates a 22.5% year-on-year increase in heat pump exports from January to August 2025, driven by low comparative bases and upcoming heating seasons in Europe [5] Investment Recommendations - The current market is active, with traditional appliance leaders lacking growth potential; technology-related companies are performing better [6] - Recommended stocks include Stone Technology, Ecovacs, and Ugreen Technology for their growth prospects, alongside undervalued companies like Midea Group and Haier Smart Home that have successfully digitized their offline channels [6]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the recent performance and financial metrics of Ugreen Technology, including stock price movement and trading volume [1] - On October 29, Ugreen Technology's stock rose by 4.30%, with a trading volume of 497 million yuan [1] - The financing data indicates that on the same day, Ugreen Technology had a financing buy amount of 34.81 million yuan and a financing repayment of 36.46 million yuan, resulting in a net financing outflow of 1.65 million yuan [1] Group 2 - Ugreen Technology, established on March 16, 2012, is located in Longhua District, Shenzhen, and focuses on the research, design, production, and sales of 3C consumer electronics [2] - The company's main business revenue composition includes charging products (37.01%), transmission products (26.64%), audio and video products (16.34%), storage products (10.75%), mobile peripheral products (7.88%), and others (1.33%) [2] - For the period from January to September 2025, Ugreen Technology achieved a revenue of 6.364 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 47.80%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 467 million yuan, up 45.08% year-on-year [2] Group 3 - Ugreen Technology has distributed a total of 373 million yuan in dividends since its A-share listing [3] - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders in Ugreen Technology was 8,578, a decrease of 10.42% from the previous period [3] - Notable changes in institutional holdings include an increase in shares held by major shareholders, such as the FuGuo Small and Medium Cap Selected Mixed Fund, which increased its holdings by 1.3456 million shares [3]

Core Viewpoint - Shenzhen Ugreen Technology Co., Ltd. has recently attracted significant institutional interest, with 93 investment institutions participating in a research event, discussing the company's performance and strategic initiatives [1][2]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, Ugreen Technology reported a revenue of 6.364 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 47.80%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 467 million yuan, up 45.08% [3]. - In Q3 alone, the company achieved a revenue of 2.507 billion yuan, representing a 60.44% increase compared to the same period last year, with a net profit of 192 million yuan, up 67.32% [3]. Business Growth Drivers - The main growth drivers identified were the charging and storage product lines, with new product launches enhancing the company's offerings [4]. - The NAS product line has expanded to cover a full range of entry-level to high-end models, catering to diverse user needs and driving growth [4]. Brand Strategy - The company has integrated the cost of hiring global brand ambassadors into its marketing budget, emphasizing that this is part of a broader brand upgrade strategy aimed at long-term sales growth [5]. International Expansion - Ugreen's overseas revenue reached 2.295 billion yuan in the first half of the year, marking a 51.39% year-on-year increase, with continued growth in Q3 [6]. - The company has established both online and offline channels in key markets, including partnerships with major retailers like Walmart and Costco [6]. NAS Product Outlook - The NAS market is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 12.1% from 2025 to 2030, driven by increasing data storage needs [7]. - Ugreen's NAS products leverage AI technology, providing a competitive edge in the market [7]. Risk Management - The company has implemented measures to address potential risks in overseas markets, including a dynamic policy monitoring system and cost structure optimization to maintain high gross margins [8].

Group 1 - Ugreen Technology (SZ 301606) announced that it will accept investor research from October 27 to October 29, 2025, with participation from the company's board secretary and financial officer Wang Lizhen [1] - For the first half of 2025, Ugreen Technology's revenue composition is 100.0% from the consumer electronics sector [1] - As of the report date, Ugreen Technology has a market capitalization of 30.3 billion yuan [1] Group 2 - The A-share market has surpassed 4,000 points, marking a significant resurgence after a decade of stagnation, with the technology sector leading the market's transformation into a "slow bull" new pattern [1]

Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of CNY 6.364 billion, a year-on-year increase of 47.80% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached CNY 467 million, up 45.08% year-on-year [1] - In Q3 alone, revenue was CNY 2.507 billion, reflecting a growth of 60.44% compared to the same period last year [1] - The net profit for Q3 was CNY 192 million, a year-on-year increase of 67.32% [1] Product Performance - The company has seen strong growth in its charging and storage product lines, with new product launches contributing to steady revenue growth [2] - The NAS product line has experienced a significant year-on-year growth of 125.13% [4] - The global NAS market is projected to have a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 12.1% from 2025 to 2030 [5] Brand Strategy - The appointment of a global brand ambassador is part of the company's brand upgrade strategy, aimed at enhancing user recognition and driving long-term sales growth [2] - The marketing budget is planned and allocated scientifically to balance brand investment with profit performance [2] Overseas Expansion - In the first half of 2025, overseas revenue reached CNY 2.295 billion, a year-on-year increase of 51.39% [3] - The company has established a presence in major retail channels such as Walmart and Costco in the U.S. and Media Markt in Europe [3] - Localized subsidiaries have been set up in key markets like the U.S., Germany, and Japan to cater to regional consumer needs [3] Domestic Market Development - The company is enhancing its online and offline sales channels, focusing on platforms like JD.com and Tmall for online sales [4] - Offline strategies include hosting technical seminars and participating in industry exhibitions to boost brand recognition [4] - The company is expanding its instant retail business to integrate online and offline channels [4] Risk Management - The company maintains a robust overseas business despite fluctuating external environments, optimizing cost structures to sustain high gross margins [6] - A market alert mechanism is in place to adapt strategies in response to changes in overseas policies [6]

Core Viewpoint - The company announced its Q3 2025 financial results, achieving revenue of 6.364 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 47.80%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 467 million yuan, up 45.08% year-on-year [1][2]. Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company reported revenue of 2.507 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 60.44%, and a net profit of 192 million yuan, up 67.3% year-on-year, indicating a significant improvement compared to the first half of the year [3]. - The net profit margin for Q3 2025 reached 7.66%, an increase of 0.32 percentage points year-on-year [3]. - The overall gross margin for Q3 2025 was 37.2%, up 0.66 percentage points year-on-year, driven by improved gross margins in core product categories [3]. Strategic Product Development - The company is enhancing its strategic product offerings, particularly in NAS products and AI NAS, which are expected to drive growth in storage and related hardware [1][5]. - The company anticipates continued high-end iterations in charging products, which will improve profitability [1][5]. - The overseas revenue share is expected to increase, with NAS products projected to meet annual sales targets, particularly in key markets like Germany, Japan, and the United States [5]. Market Position and Future Outlook - The company is focusing on expanding its product categories, channel penetration, and market positioning, which are expected to yield ongoing benefits [5]. - The introduction of AI NAS products is anticipated to enhance the ecosystem with complementary hardware, such as smart cameras, thereby boosting overall sales growth [5]. - The company projects net profits of 684 million yuan, 934 million yuan, and 1.183 billion yuan for 2025 to 2027, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 36X, 26X, and 21X, maintaining a "buy" rating [5].

Core Viewpoint - The consumer electronics sector experienced a rise of 0.64% on October 28, with Furi Electronics leading the gains, while the overall market indices showed a decline [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3988.22, down 0.22% [1] - The Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13430.1, down 0.44% [1] Group 2: Top Gainers in Consumer Electronics - Furi Electronics (600203) closed at 14.74, up 7.12% with a trading volume of 1.35 million shares [1] - Oni Electronics (301189) closed at 37.83, up 6.89% with a trading volume of 51,100 shares [1] - Yabo Xuan (920357) closed at 29.99, up 5.60% with a trading volume of 53,500 shares [1] - Hengmingda (002947) closed at 46.70, up 5.23% with a trading volume of 181,800 shares [1] - Greenlink Technology (301606) closed at 69.95, up 5.09% with a trading volume of 70,200 shares [1] Group 3: Top Losers in Consumer Electronics - Fuliwang (688678) closed at 28.45, down 8.78% with a trading volume of 244,300 shares [2] - Yingshi Innovation (688775) closed at 288.80, down 4.63% with a trading volume of 37,900 shares [2] - Zhishang Technology (301486) closed at 86.31, down 3.99% with a trading volume of 47,100 shares [2] Group 4: Capital Flow Analysis - The consumer electronics sector saw a net outflow of 2.844 billion yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 2.473 billion yuan [2][3] - The top net inflow from retail investors was observed in Furi Electronics, with a net inflow of 2.86 billion yuan [3]