Archer-Daniels-Midland Stock Outlook: Is Wall Street Bullish or Bearish?

Core Insights - Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM) has a market capitalization of $32.4 billion and is involved in the procurement, transportation, storage, processing, and merchandising of agricultural commodities and ingredients [1] Performance Overview - ADM shares have outperformed the broader market, gaining 41.8% over the past year compared to a 14% increase in the S&P 500 Index [2] - Year-to-date (YTD) performance shows ADM stock up 17.1%, exceeding the S&P 500's marginal rise [2] - Compared to the VanEck Agribusiness ETF (MOO), which gained 20.2% over the past year, ADM's YTD returns also surpass the ETF's 13.6% gains [3] Financial Results - In Q4, ADM reported an adjusted EPS of $0.87, exceeding Wall Street's expectation of $0.83, but its revenue of $18.6 billion fell short of the forecasted $22.3 billion [5] - For the full fiscal year, ADM expects adjusted EPS to be in the range of $3.60 to $4.25 [5] Earnings Expectations - Analysts project ADM's EPS to grow by 17.5% to $4.03 on a diluted basis for the current fiscal year ending in December [6] - ADM has a strong earnings surprise history, beating consensus estimates in each of the last four quarters [6] Analyst Ratings - Among 11 analysts covering ADM, the consensus rating is a "Hold," with one "Strong Buy," six "Holds," two "Moderate Sells," and two "Strong Sells" [6] - Recent analysis indicates a less bearish outlook compared to a month ago, with three analysts suggesting a "Strong Sell" [8] Price Targets - ADM currently trades above its mean price target of $57.30, with a Street-high price target of $70 indicating a potential upside of 4% [9]