“最贵新股”上市以来首亏 “微逆之王”能靠储能讲出新故事吗？

Core Viewpoint - HeMai Co., Ltd. (禾迈股份) has experienced a dramatic decline in stock price and market value, reflecting the harsh cycle of the photovoltaic industry, transitioning from a peak valuation to significant losses and inventory issues [2][4]. Financial Performance - HeMai's net profit from 2021 to 2024 was 2.02 billion, 5.33 billion, 5.12 billion, and 3.44 billion respectively, with a projected net loss of 1.35 billion to 1.65 billion for 2025, marking the first annual loss since its listing [4][5]. - The company’s stock price peaked at 1,300 yuan per share, with a market capitalization nearing 100 billion yuan, but has since dropped significantly, resulting in a market value loss exceeding 70 billion yuan [2][5]. Market Dynamics - The global micro-inverter market grew from 2.958 billion USD in 2019 to 4.275 billion USD in 2021, with a compound annual growth rate exceeding 50%, but demand has since plummeted due to various market pressures [5][6]. - In 2023, the demand for micro-inverters fell sharply, with exports to the U.S. declining by 30%, leading to a significant inventory surplus in the industry [6]. Production and Inventory Issues - HeMai's production capacity reached 6 million units in 2023, but actual sales were only 3.5 million units, resulting in a capacity utilization rate of less than 60% [6]. - The company's inventory surged from 380 million yuan in 2021 to 1.25 billion yuan in 2023, with a significant portion of products facing obsolescence and price drops exceeding 40% [7]. Strategic Shifts - HeMai is transitioning from being a micro-inverter supplier to a comprehensive energy storage solution provider, aiming to leverage synergies between micro-inverters and energy storage systems [9][10]. - The company has restructured into three divisions and six product lines, with a focus on global marketing and rapid growth in its energy storage business, which generated 312 million yuan in revenue in 2024 [10][11]. Future Outlook - HeMai anticipates that its energy storage business will exceed 1 billion yuan in revenue by 2026, with a gross margin of 30% to 40% for its household and commercial storage products [10][11]. - The company is actively expanding into high-margin overseas markets and investing heavily in research and development, with R&D spending increasing from 46 million yuan in 2021 to 266 million yuan in 2024 [11][12].