北京供地，不分轮次了

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent land supply announcement in Beijing for 2026, highlighting the unique characteristics of the land parcels and the implications of the supply logic in the real estate market [2][3]. Group 1: Land Supply Announcement - On February 3, 2026, the first round of land supply was announced, involving five residential land parcels totaling 16 hectares and a planned construction area of 240,000 square meters [2]. - The five parcels include locations in Dongcheng, Fengtai, Shunyi, and Changping districts, but they did not enter the pre-application phase, leading to skepticism about the reliability of assessments made by media [2][3]. Group 2: Changes in Supply Logic - The announcement removed the "round" designation from the land supply list, making it difficult to identify which parcels are new for 2026 without detailed examination [4][5]. - Currently, there are 15 parcels listed in the supply plan, with 10 of them carried over from the 2025 list, indicating a significant amount of land being held [6][7]. Group 3: Supply Volume and Market Implications - The total area of land available for supply in 2026 is 51.42 hectares, with a planned construction area of 1,057,300 square meters, suggesting a substantial supply volume [10][11]. - The supply plan for 2026 is set between 200 to 240 hectares, with the first round accounting for only 6.7% to 8% of the total planned supply [12][13]. Group 4: Market Trends and Predictions - The anticipated land transaction amount for the first quarter of 2026 is projected to be only 6.49 billion yuan, a stark contrast to the previous year's first quarter, which saw transactions totaling 56.937 billion yuan [16]. - The overall land supply for 2026 is expected to decrease by approximately 15.4%, reflecting a strategic reduction in land availability amid high inventory levels in the market [18][19].