Core Viewpoint - In 2025, China's service trade is expected to continue its steady and positive development, with total import and export volume reaching 80,823.1 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.4%, reflecting the resilience and potential of China's service industry and foreign trade structure amidst global economic uncertainties [1] Group 1: Service Trade Performance - The export growth rate of service trade in 2025 is significantly higher than that of imports, contributing to the narrowing of the trade deficit [3] - Travel services are particularly noteworthy, with import and export volume reaching 22,067 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.6%, driven by the recovery of inbound and outbound tourism [3] - The growth of travel services not only boosts the scale of service trade but also positively supports domestic consumption and employment [3] Group 2: Demand Side Dynamics - The upgrading of resident consumption structure is a key internal driver for the continuous expansion of service trade, as rising income levels and changing consumption concepts increase demand for high-quality and diverse services [4] - The significant narrowing of the service trade deficit in 2025 is a highlight, attributed to the enhanced international competitiveness of domestic service enterprises and the continuous optimization of export structure [4] - The narrowing of the deficit results from a combination of export expansion, import structure adjustment, and improvements in service industry efficiency [4] Group 3: External Environment - The global service trade is undergoing a new round of structural adjustments, with trends towards digitalization, online services, and platformization providing new opportunities for Chinese service enterprises [5] - Ongoing regional economic cooperation is creating favorable conditions for expanding service trade market space [5] - Progress in aligning service trade rules and standards will further reduce the institutional costs for enterprises going global [5] Group 4: Policy Support and Future Outlook - The steady growth of service trade is supported by a series of policy measures aimed at expanding service industry openness and promoting digital trade innovation [6] - Service trade is becoming an important support for stabilizing foreign trade and growth, with a focus on enhancing the professional and international capabilities of service supply rather than merely pursuing scale expansion [6] - Looking ahead, there is significant growth potential in service trade, particularly in travel services and emerging fields such as digital and professional services [6] - Overall, the positive progress in scale growth, structural optimization, and narrowing of the deficit in 2025 will provide important support for foreign trade stability and inject new momentum into high-quality economic development [6]
众赢财富通:服务贸易稳步扩张 结构优化趋势显现
Cai Fu Zai Xian·2026-02-07 07:41