光伏发电能力增加25％！2026年全球风光水发电能力年景预测发布，助力新能源参与电力中长期市场

Core Insights - China has established the world's largest and fastest-growing renewable energy system, becoming a leader in global green low-carbon development, with cumulative installed capacity of wind and solar power expected to exceed 1.8 billion kilowatts by the end of 2025, accounting for over 60% of renewable energy generation capacity [2][3] Group 1: Global Renewable Energy Capacity Forecast - The "Global Wind, Solar, and Hydropower Generation Capacity Annual Forecast 2026" predicts that global average wind power generation hours will be approximately 2310, while solar power generation hours will be around 1340, with overall generation capacity increasing by 6%, 25%, and 7% respectively [2][4] - The prediction framework integrates meteorological forecasting, wind and solar site identification, and renewable energy generation capacity forecasting, filling a technical gap in medium- to long-term renewable energy forecasting [3][4] Group 2: Regional Differences and Impacts - There are significant regional differences in global wind and solar generation capacity, with some countries experiencing increases while others face declines; for instance, 16 countries saw increased wind generation hours, while 17 countries, including India, experienced declines [4] - In China, average wind generation hours are expected to decrease slightly to 2100, while solar generation hours will remain stable at 1320, leading to an overall increase in generation capacity of approximately 2% for wind and 25% for solar [4][5] Group 3: Implications for Energy Market - The global renewable energy sector is entering a period of rapid acceleration, with an expected addition of 70 million kilowatts of new capacity in 2025, a 20% increase from 2024 [5] - The annual forecast is crucial for supporting the electricity spot market and decision-making for new energy site selection, allowing energy companies to develop strategies and sign long-term contracts based on predicted trends [5][6] - The release of the annual forecast will facilitate energy conservation and carbon reduction efforts, aligning with China's transition to stricter carbon emission controls during the 14th Five-Year Plan period [6]