Core Viewpoint - The epoxy propylene sector has experienced a significant price surge since January, with various companies seeing substantial stock price increases, driven by supply-demand dynamics and market speculation [2][3][4]. Price Increase - In January, stock prices of companies related to epoxy propylene saw remarkable increases, with Meibang Technology rising by 67.45% and Hongbaoli by 68.92% [3]. - The benchmark price of epoxy propylene reached 8200.00 yuan/ton by January 30, marking a 6.03% increase from the beginning of the month, with some periods seeing nearly a 10% rise [4]. Supply and Demand Dynamics - The price increase is attributed to changes in the supply-demand landscape, with reduced operating loads in northern regions and a positive outlook in the downstream market leading to increased purchasing activity [4][5]. - The cancellation of export tax rebates for certain products is expected to drive a surge in orders before the April deadline, further boosting demand for epoxy propylene [5]. Market Trends - Despite the price surge, there are signs of a cooling market as purchasing sentiment declines due to high prices, leading to a potential downward adjustment in prices [6]. - The epoxy propylene industry is currently experiencing an oversupply situation, with low operating rates and expected new capacity additions by 2026 [6][7]. Demand Growth - Although there is oversupply, demand for epoxy propylene is showing slight growth, particularly in the appliance and export sectors, which is helping to sustain overall demand [7]. - The market is expected to experience fluctuations in February, with potential price rebounds later in the month as downstream factories resume operations [8].
出口退税下现货订单暴涨!环氧丙烷价格飙升