百胜中国(9987.HK)：Q4收入利润亮眼增长 新征程稳健启航

Core Viewpoint - The company reported Q4 2025 operating performance with revenue of $2.823 billion, a year-on-year increase of 9%, and adjusted net profit of $140 million, up 24% year-on-year. Same-store sales rose by 3%, marking three consecutive quarters of growth. The net increase in stores reached a record high for the quarter at 587 stores [1][2]. Revenue and Profitability - In Q4 2025, the company's system sales increased by 7% year-on-year, with same-store sales up 3%. The same-store transaction volume grew by 4%, marking the 12th consecutive quarter of growth. The company opened 587 new stores, with 36% being franchise stores, indicating a strong growth model combining self-operated and franchise operations. Delivery sales increased by 34% year-on-year, accounting for approximately 53% of restaurant revenue, up about 11 percentage points year-on-year and 2 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [1][2]. Profit Margin Improvement - The overall profitability of the company remains strong, with an operating profit margin of 6.6% in Q4 2025, an increase of 80 basis points year-on-year. The restaurant profit margin was 13.0%, up 70 basis points, primarily due to improvements in raw material costs, property rents, and other operating expenses. For the full year 2025, total revenue was $11.8 billion, a 4% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of $929 million, up 2% year-on-year [2][3]. Brand Performance - In Q4 2025, KFC's total revenue increased by 9%, with same-store sales up 3%, driven mainly by transaction volume. The restaurant profit margin for KFC was 14.0%, with a 0.7 percentage point year-on-year increase. Pizza Hut's revenue grew by 6%, with same-store sales up 1%, and delivery sales accounting for over 54% of total revenue [2][3]. Strategic Development - The company plans to exceed 30,000 stores by 2030, focusing on systematic capabilities and supply chain improvements for steady expansion. The RGM3.0 strategy will continue to drive innovation and efficiency, with a focus on large products and the integration of AI to enhance operational efficiency. The franchise model is expected to significantly support future store openings, with plans for franchise stores to account for 40%-50% of new openings between 2026 and 2028 [3][4]. Future Outlook - For 2026-2027, the company expects to achieve a net profit of $1.033 billion and $1.119 billion, with current stock prices corresponding to PE ratios of 19X and 17X, respectively, maintaining a "buy" rating [4].