Core Viewpoint - Citigroup forecasts that the revenue of domestic banks will increase by 2.1% year-on-year in Q4 2025, primarily benefiting from stable fee income and a stabilizing net interest margin, partially offsetting the impact of slowing loan growth [1] Group 1: Revenue and Growth Projections - The report indicates that domestic banks experienced strong loan growth in January, driven mainly by corporate loans [1] - The pressure on net interest margins is expected to ease in 2026, with revenue growth for the banking sector in FY 2026 anticipated to improve slightly compared to FY 2025, mainly due to stabilizing net interest margins and strong fee income [1] Group 2: Asset Quality and Provisioning - In the context of stable asset quality, the bank expects domestic banks to release provisions to support profit growth [1] Group 3: Investment Opportunities - With the ten-year Chinese government bond yield peaking, the spread between dividend yields and ten-year government bond yields is expected to widen, attracting investors seeking returns from southern funds [1] - The bank's preferred choices are Bank of China and Ningbo Bank [1]
大行评级丨花旗:预期内银去年第四季营收按年增2.1%,首选中国银行与宁波银行