债市早报：资金面整体宽松，债市延续暖意

Group 1: Domestic News - The State Council, led by Premier Li Qiang, emphasized the importance of promoting effective investment to stabilize economic growth and enhance development momentum during the 10th plenary meeting on February 6 [2] - The meeting discussed innovative policy measures to optimize the use of central budget investments, ultra-long special bonds, and local government special bonds, focusing on key areas such as infrastructure and emerging industries [2] Group 2: Foreign Exchange and Monetary Policy - As of January 2026, China's foreign exchange reserves increased to $339.91 billion, up by $41.2 billion from December 2025, while gold reserves rose to 74.19 million ounces, an increase of 40,000 ounces [3] - The People's Bank of China conducted a 7-day reverse repo operation of 31.5 billion yuan at a rate of 1.40% and a 14-day reverse repo operation of 300 billion yuan, resulting in a net withdrawal of 146 billion yuan on February 6 [8][9] Group 3: Bond Market Dynamics - The bond market showed positive sentiment with a decline in yields; the 10-year government bond yield fell by 0.60 basis points to 1.8020% and the 10-year policy bank bond yield decreased by 1.55 basis points to 1.9625% [10][11] - The secondary market for credit bonds experienced significant price deviations, with one industrial bond, "23产融11," dropping over 17% [12] Group 4: Equity and Convertible Bond Market - The convertible bond market saw major indices rise, with the China Convertible Bond Index increasing by 0.75% and trading volume reaching 88.755 billion yuan, up by 14.689 billion yuan from the previous trading day [20][21] - Notable individual convertible bonds included 泰瑞转债, which rose over 10%, while 新致转债 fell over 9% [21] Group 5: International Trade Developments - The U.S. and India reached a temporary trade framework, reducing tariffs on Indian goods to 18% and committing to a $500 billion purchase of U.S. products over five years [6] - The U.S. consumer confidence index slightly increased to 57.3 in February 2026, while long-term inflation expectations rose marginally to 3.4% [5]