Ge Long Hui·2026-02-09 06:42Core Viewpoint - Pacific Securities report indicates that Wens Foodstuff Group expects a decline in net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025, projecting a range of 5-5.5 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 40.73%-46.12% [1] Group 1: Financial Projections - The company's net profit after deducting non-recurring items is expected to be between 4.8-5.3 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 44.64%-49.86% [1] - For 2026-2027, the projected net profit attributable to shareholders is 8.325 billion yuan and 15.018 billion yuan, with earnings per share (EPS) estimated at 1.25 yuan and 2.26 yuan respectively [1] Group 2: Business Performance - The company anticipates a total pig output of 40.4769 million heads in 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 34.11%, exceeding the initial target of 33-35 million heads [1] - Profit margins in the pig and chicken farming sectors are expected to decline due to a significant drop in market prices, which has outpaced cost reductions [1] Group 3: Market Outlook - The industry is expected to continue capacity reduction in the first half of the year due to persistently low pig prices since early 2026, with a potential turning point in the market likely occurring in the second half [1] - Despite the anticipated downturn in the pig cycle for 2026, the company's ongoing cost reduction efforts suggest that performance may still see growth over the next two years [1] Group 4: Valuation - The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 12.64x for 2026 and 7.01x for 2027, maintaining a "buy" rating [1]