Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2026-02-09 06:51Core Viewpoint - Citigroup forecasts that the revenue of domestic banks will increase by 2.1% year-on-year in Q4 2025, primarily benefiting from stable fee income and a steady net interest margin, partially offsetting the impact of slowing loan growth [1] Group 1: Revenue and Performance Expectations - The report anticipates that domestic banks will release provisions to support profit growth amid stable asset quality [1] - Among domestic banks, Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank is expected to outperform, while Everbright Bank and Changshu Bank are projected to underperform [1] Group 2: Loan Growth and Interest Margin - Strong loan growth in January was mainly driven by corporate loans [1] - Net interest margin pressure is expected to ease in 2026, with revenue growth for the banking sector in FY2026 anticipated to improve slightly compared to FY2025, driven by stable net interest margins and strong fee income [1] Group 3: Investment Opportunities - With the yield on China's 10-year government bonds peaking, the spread between dividend yields and 10-year government bond yields is expected to widen, attracting investors seeking returns [1] - The preferred banks for investment are Bank of China and Ningbo Bank [1]