Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that Trump's tariff policy is disrupting global economic order and may lead the US economy into recession this year, according to Nobel laureate economist Maskin [1][3][5] - Maskin emphasizes that high tariffs are not a good idea as they reduce bilateral trade volume and can lead to negative consequences for both parties involved, with the US facing significant backlash as the tariff imposer [3][5] - Historical context is provided by Maskin, referencing the economic crisis of the 1930s, where high tariffs contributed to the Great Depression, suggesting that current high tariffs could lead to similar economic isolation [3][5] Group 2 - Maskin warns that the potential impact of high tariffs could worsen inflation and lead to unemployment and living difficulties for Americans, predicting a high likelihood of recession based on various indicators [5][7] - Despite the negative implications, Trump has benefited from tariffs by using them as leverage to compel other countries to lower tariffs on US goods and increase purchases, making it unlikely for him to repeal these tariffs [5][7] - The increased costs of imported goods due to high tariffs will ultimately be passed on to American consumers, resulting in higher prices for products [7]
特朗普关税隐患将爆发？诺贝尔经济奖得主：今年美国经济恐陷衰退
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2026-02-09 12:41