BMY Up 7.6% Post Q4 Earnings: Should You Buy, Sell or Hold the Stock?

Core Viewpoint - Bristol Myers Squibb (BMY) has improved its near-term outlook following strong fourth-quarter 2025 results, with a stock increase of 7.6% post-earnings, reflecting enhanced investor sentiment [2][3]. Group 1: Financial Performance - BMY's stock has surged 31.2% over the past three months, outperforming the industry growth of 11.9% [3]. - The company's fourth-quarter revenues from its growth portfolio increased by 16% to $7.4 billion, accounting for 59% of total revenues [7]. - The blockbuster drug Opdivo generated $2.7 billion in sales during the fourth quarter, marking a 9% year-over-year increase [8]. - BMY's legacy portfolio faced a 15% revenue decline in the fourth quarter due to generic competition, impacting overall performance [15]. Group 2: Growth Drivers - Key brands in BMY's growth portfolio include Opdivo, Reblozyl, Breyanzi, and Camzyos, which have shown significant revenue contributions [7][9]. - Reblozyl's annualized sales have exceeded $2 billion, driven by strong uptake in MDS-associated anemia patients [11]. - Breyanzi sales surged 49% in the fourth quarter, surpassing a $1 billion annualized run rate [12]. - The FDA approval of Cobenfy for schizophrenia treatment has led to initial sales of $155 million in 2025, indicating strong market potential [13][14]. Group 3: Pipeline and Future Prospects - BMY is developing a robust pipeline with six promising candidates expected to report top-line data in the second half of the year [20]. - The acquisition of Orbital Therapeutics has added a next-generation CAR T-cell therapy candidate to BMY's pipeline [21]. - Collaboration with BioNTech on the bispecific antibody pumitamig has shown encouraging interim results in treating triple-negative breast cancer [22][23]. Group 4: Valuation and Estimates - BMY shares currently trade at a price/earnings ratio of 10.16x forward earnings, which is lower than the large-cap pharma industry's average of 18.76x [24]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2026 EPS has increased to $6.13 from $6.08 over the past week [25]. Group 5: Cost Management and Revenue Outlook - BMY is targeting $2 billion in annualized cost savings by the end of 2027, having achieved approximately $1 billion in savings in 2025 [29]. - Management projects 2026 revenues to be between $46.0 billion and $47.5 billion, down from $48.2 billion in 2025, due to ongoing pressure from legacy product sales [30].