Core Viewpoint - The report emphasizes the importance of selecting scarce assets with stable cash flow growth amid a style shift, particularly focusing on railway, highway, and port leaders that are expected to see net profit and cash flow growth in 2026 due to policy support and market conditions [1][2]. Group 1: Highway Sector Insights - In December, highway traffic in South China is expected to increase by approximately 5% year-on-year, supported by the recovery of the hinterland economy [2]. - The average growth rate of highway freight volume in December 2025 is projected to be around 5.2% on a two-year CAGR basis, reflecting a recovery from the low point in July 2025 [2]. - The report anticipates a narrowing of the PPI decline in 2026, with policies aimed at stabilizing growth expected to support industrial and retail recovery, thereby driving logistics demand expansion [2]. Group 2: Market Activity and Fund Flows - In the first week of February 2026, the average daily trading volume of dividend stocks reached 856 billion yuan, marking a 48.9% increase compared to December 2025 [3]. - The average daily net subscription for A-share dividend ETFs in February 2026 was 9.7 billion yuan, significantly higher than the average of 3.5 to 3.8 billion yuan in the previous quarter, indicating a 152.1% increase [3]. - The report suggests that pre-holiday fund inflows into dividend stocks may catalyze valuation improvements, highlighting opportunities for stable cash flow asset allocation during the style shift [3].
中信证券:风格切换,优选现金流稳健增长稀缺资产