Core Insights - The narrative of "SaaSification" in the software industry is being fundamentally challenged by the rapid evolution of generative AI, leading to a reassessment of the standard SaaS model [1][2] - The high valuation premiums previously enjoyed by SaaS companies are diminishing as the market shifts focus from revenue growth to immediate cash flow and profitability [1][4] Group 1: Valuation Changes - UBS reports that the rapid iteration of large language models (LLMs) is prompting a fundamental reevaluation of the "standardized SaaS" model, with a shift from sales-based valuation to P/E or EV/FCF frameworks [1][7] - The transition in valuation paradigms has resulted in downgrades across the software sector, as companies are forced to provide more customized services, aligning their business models closer to low-margin IT services [2][4] Group 2: Profitability Concerns - Despite increased revenue growth in the Chinese software industry since early 2025, profit margins are declining, indicating that AI-driven demand is not directed towards standardized software products [8][9] - The need for extensive customization to meet vague customer demands is leading to a situation where revenue growth does not translate into profit margin expansion, potentially dragging down profitability [8][9] Group 3: Challenges in AI Monetization - UBS identifies three key bottlenecks in software companies' ability to monetize AI: insufficient AI capabilities, an immature digital ecosystem, and credibility issues regarding AI expertise compared to startups and cloud vendors [9][10] - The rapid release of new AI models every 2-3 months necessitates faster iteration and delivery from software companies, which complicates standardization and profit margin expansion [10]
又一家华尔街投行下调中国软件业评级:AI颠覆,估值重构!