WANT WANT CHINA(HK:00151) 3 6 Ke·2026-02-10 03:41Overview - The leisure snack category, particularly candy and chocolate, has faced significant challenges in recent years due to health trends and rising raw material costs, with cocoa prices expected to remain high in 2024 and 2025, having increased several times compared to a decade ago [1][3]. Market Dynamics - In 2024 and 2025, chocolate accounts for approximately 9% of the leisure snack category, while candy holds about 4%, indicating a significant disparity [5]. - Both categories are experiencing negative sales growth, with chocolate sales declining by about 7% year-on-year, while candy's decline is more pronounced, exceeding 10% [5][9]. - The overall market for leisure snacks in traditional retail channels is shrinking, affecting all subcategories, with candy facing more severe pressure than chocolate [5][14]. Seasonal Trends - Chocolate sees higher sales in the autumn and winter months due to increased caloric needs and holiday celebrations, while candy's market share has shown a noticeable decline in 2025 [7][9]. Pricing Trends - The average price per 100 grams for chocolate has been rising, influenced by increased raw material costs, while candy prices have generally decreased [11][14]. - The price index for both chocolate and candy has shown a similar trend, with fluctuations indicating a general decline in prices for leisure snacks overall [13][14]. Regional Insights - In 2025, the market share of candy has declined across seven regions, with the Southwest region having the highest share, while the Northeast has the lowest [16]. - Chocolate's market share is higher in East China, North China, and Southwest regions, with some regions showing growth in 2025 compared to 2024 [17]. Market Concentration - The chocolate category has a high market concentration, with the top three companies holding over 70% of the market share, which is expected to increase further [19]. - In contrast, the candy category has a much lower concentration, with the top three companies holding only about 20% of the market share, indicating a fragmented market [19]. Brand Performance - Among chocolate brands, Meiji has shown significant sales growth, while Mars maintains the largest market share [22][27]. - In the candy sector, all top ten companies reported negative sales growth, with Mars being the only one exceeding 8% market share [36][42]. Product Trends - The chocolate category is seeing a rise in the number of SKUs, particularly in milk chocolate, while the market share of nostalgic products like M&Ms is declining [30][33]. - In the candy category, products like pressed candy and sugar-free options are gaining traction, but traditional candy faces challenges in maintaining market share [43][50]. Future Outlook - The candy and chocolate sectors are expected to evolve with a focus on health-oriented products and innovative marketing strategies, such as IP branding, to enhance consumer appeal and pricing power [53].