Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2026-02-10 07:37Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley maintains a "Market Perform" rating for Lenovo Group (00992) with a target price of HKD 9.8, indicating that Lenovo is well-positioned to mitigate the risks associated with rising memory prices [1] Group 1: Performance Metrics - For the third fiscal quarter ending December, Lenovo's desktop computer shipments increased by 29% year-on-year and 11% quarter-on-quarter, reaching 4.5 million units, which is approximately 30% higher than Morgan Stanley's and market expectations [1] - Laptop shipments totaled approximately 14.3 million units, aligning closely with Morgan Stanley's and market expectations [1] - Smartphone shipments showed strong performance, rising by 9% year-on-year and 4% quarter-on-quarter to 16.8 million units, exceeding Morgan Stanley's expectations by 9% [1] Group 2: Revenue and Profit Forecasts - Although server data has not yet been released, strong overall server demand was indicated in Morgan Stanley's survey, leading to an upward revision of the Infrastructure Solutions Group (ISG) revenue forecast to approximately USD 5 billion, reflecting year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter growth of 27% and 22%, respectively, and exceeding market expectations by 8% [1] - The anticipated revenue for Lenovo in the third fiscal quarter is approximately USD 21.8 billion, representing year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter growth of 16% and 7%, respectively, and surpassing market expectations by 5% [1] - Adjusted net profit under non-Hong Kong Financial Reporting Standards is projected to be approximately USD 522 million, exceeding market expectations by 11% [1]