Michael Burry issues dire forecast for Google stock amid 100-year bond plans

Core Viewpoint - Michael Burry suggests that Google's decision to issue 100-year debt indicates a potential decline in the company's dominance, drawing parallels to Motorola's decline after a similar bond issuance in 1997 [1][3]. Company Analysis - Alphabet (Google) is planning to issue 100-year bonds, a move that Burry associates with the decline of Motorola, which was the last year it was a dominant player in the market [2][3]. - By 2026, Motorola had significantly fallen in market cap, ranking 232nd with only $11 billion in sales, which Burry uses as a cautionary example for Alphabet [3]. Industry Context - Despite Burry's bearish outlook, Alphabet's business has shown continuous growth, particularly in artificial intelligence (AI) products, and its stock remains positive in early 2026 [5]. - However, Google's search market share has dropped below 90% for the first time in a decade, indicating a potential decline in its dominance [8]. - The decline in search quality and the rise of AI platforms like ChatGPT have contributed to this shift, leading to a significant drop in traffic for many media websites [9]. Market Sentiment - The stock market has reacted negatively to strong earnings reports from major tech firms like Microsoft, Amazon, and AMD, raising concerns about their exposure to AI and the potential for a recession [10][11]. - There are indications that previously announced AI infrastructure deals have been scaled back or canceled, adding to the uncertainty in the sector [12]. - The market-to-GDP ratio is at record highs, suggesting that any disruption could lead to significant market volatility [13].