黄金牛市未完？瑞银力挺金价回升，法巴看高至6000美元

Core Viewpoint - Gold prices are stabilizing above $5,000 as investors assess whether prices have bottomed out after a historic sell-off, despite a 10% decline since the record high in January [2] Group 1: Market Dynamics - Gold has experienced a significant drop, with the largest single-day decline since 2013, while silver faced its largest single-day drop on record [2] - Factors supporting the long-term rebound in gold prices include heightened geopolitical risks, continued central bank purchases, and low interest rates [2] - Many banks and asset management firms, including Deutsche Bank and Goldman Sachs, expect gold prices to recover due to these long-term demand drivers [3] Group 2: Price Predictions - BNP Paribas forecasts that gold prices could rise to $6,000 per ounce by the end of the year, driven by ongoing macroeconomic and geopolitical risks [2] - The gold-silver ratio has rebounded, although it remains below the average levels seen in the 1980s [2] Group 3: Central Bank Activity - Central bank purchases continue to support gold's outlook, with Poland announcing an additional purchase of 150 tons last month, and China extending its gold buying streak to 15 months [2] - Gold ETF inflows have remained stable, with a brief decline during a recent pullback, followed by a recovery [2] Group 4: Silver Market Trends - Silver has experienced extreme volatility driven by strong physical demand in Asia, but signs of weakness are emerging in the physical market as supply flows into Europe and Asia [3] - The upcoming Lunar New Year holiday may further suppress domestic demand for silver in China [3]