守正用奇：打破量化“唯数据论”，用逻辑锚定投资本质

Core Insights - The market can remain irrational longer than one can maintain solvency, indicating a shift in market timing recognition by the company as of 2024 [2] - The company's fund management scale doubled, and third-party platform data improved the team's roadshow effectiveness [2] - Investors are increasingly concerned about market sentiment rather than raw data, especially when entrusting funds to quantitative private equity [2] Group 1: Company Strategy and Development - The company, led by He Rongtian, has pioneered various financial strategies, including ETF arbitrage and ABS pricing, establishing itself as a leader in fixed income research [3][4] - The concept of market timing proposed by the company faced initial resistance, as many in the industry adhered to the efficient market hypothesis, believing that market prices reflect all available information [3][4] - The company emphasizes a dual-track timing system, focusing on market cost-effectiveness rather than merely predicting price movements [8] Group 2: Market Dynamics and Quantitative Strategies - The characteristics of the A-share market, such as high volatility and multiple hotspots, create a favorable environment for timing strategies [9] - The company’s macro-quantitative timing model successfully predicted market risks, allowing it to avoid significant losses during downturns [9][10] - The company has developed a systematic approach to style timing, adjusting portfolio allocations based on relative returns rather than individual stock predictions [10][12] Group 3: Industry Trends and Future Outlook - The company has witnessed a significant evolution in the quantitative investment landscape, transitioning from marginalization to mainstream acceptance over the past decade [21][22] - The integration of causal modeling and AI with quantitative strategies is seen as the next frontier for the industry [21][22] - The company aims to maintain a balance between growth and performance stability, emphasizing the importance of a steady approach to expansion [16]