美股开启“资金大轮动”：AI概念波动引焦虑，“非科技”板块受青睐

Group 1 - The technology sector's previous strong upward momentum in the US stock market has turned into a volatile journey, prompting investors to seek stability in traditional economic companies, leading to a shift of funds from the AI industry to materials, energy producers, and consumer goods manufacturers [1] - Since late October, non-tech stocks have driven gains in their respective sectors, including Southwest Airlines (LUV.US) up 72%, lithium producer Albemarle (ALB.US) up 71%, Moderna (MRNA.US) up 65%, and logistics giant C.H. Robinson (CHRW.US) up 56% [1] - Roth's Chief Technical Strategist JC O'Hara noted that excluding tech stocks, the S&P 500 index is expected to rise by 6% by May, indicating a positive outlook for sectors outside technology [1] Group 2 - Wall Street has generally accepted the view of diversifying investments, but last week's tech stock sell-off raised questions about this perspective, although computer and software companies led a rebound [3] - Bank of America’s Savita Subramanian highlighted that the average holding of S&P 500 constituents, excluding the seven major tech giants, is 20% lower than their index weight, with only 10% of funds holding these stocks [3] - The trend is shifting from selling tech stocks to diversifying portfolios that are overly weighted in tech, with a focus on traditional economic stocks [4] Group 3 - Morgan Stanley's data indicates that the median earnings growth for Russell 3000 constituents is expected to be 11% this year, the strongest growth in four years, with the S&P 500 information technology sector down 6.7% since October 28, while energy and materials sectors have risen 23% and 17%, respectively [4] - O'Hara emphasized that the current trend is not merely about selling tech stocks but addressing how to diversify portfolios that are heavily weighted in tech [4] - Concerns remain about the tech sector's struggles, as declines in major tech companies like Amazon, Microsoft, Alphabet, and Meta Platforms have negatively impacted the Nasdaq 100 index [4] Group 4 - 22V Research's Jeffrey Jacobson expects the Nasdaq 100 ETF to continue underperforming compared to other sectors, as funds continue to withdraw from these crowded stocks after years of excess returns [5] - Jacobson noted that aggressive capital expenditure plans from Alphabet and Microsoft have pressured their stock prices, suggesting investors consider hedging strategies against large-cap stock risks [5] - O'Hara stated that while holding tech products remains beneficial, other sectors are also benefiting from a strong industrial revival [5]