BAC Trades at a Discount to Industry: Right Time to Buy the Stock?

Core Viewpoint - Bank of America (BAC) stock is trading at a discount compared to the industry, with a price-to-tangible book (P/TB) ratio of 2.04X versus the industry's 3.42X, indicating potential investment opportunity [1][9]. Valuation and Performance - BAC stock has appreciated 20.6% over the past year, outperforming the Zacks Finance sector and the S&P 500 Index, with key peers like JPMorgan and Wells Fargo showing lower gains of 17.1% and 18.8%, respectively [4][3]. - The current valuation and positive price performance suggest that BAC may be a smart investment choice [7]. Interest Rate Impact - The Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts are expected to pressure BAC's net interest income (NII), but factors such as fixed-rate asset repricing and increased loan and deposit balances may mitigate this impact [8][9]. - BAC anticipates a 5-7% growth in NII for 2026, supported by loan and deposit growth despite the rate cuts [11][9]. Network Expansion and Digital Strategy - BAC is focused on expanding its financial centers, having opened approximately 300 new centers since 2019, which has contributed to $18 billion in incremental deposits [12][13]. - The bank's strategy combines digital and physical services to enhance customer relationships and capitalize on new business opportunities [14][15]. Financial Health and Shareholder Returns - As of December 31, 2025, BAC's average global liquidity sources totaled $975 billion, and it has maintained strong investment-grade credit ratings [16]. - The company has raised its dividend by 8% and authorized a $40 billion share repurchase plan, indicating a commitment to returning value to shareholders [19][17]. Investment Banking Performance - BAC's investment banking (IB) fees have shown recovery, with a 31.4% year-over-year increase in 2024 and an 8.4% increase in 2025, driven by a healthy IB pipeline [20][21]. - The company targets mid-single-digit CAGR in IB fees and aims to gain market share through enhanced integration and AI-driven insights [21]. Asset Quality Concerns - BAC's asset quality has been under pressure, with significant increases in provisions and net charge-offs in recent years, although there was a decline in these metrics last year [22][23]. - The bank remains cautious about the impact of high interest rates on its loan portfolio and the broader macroeconomic environment [24]. Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for BAC's earnings in 2026 and 2027 has been revised down to $4.30 and $4.93, respectively, indicating growth rates of 12.9% and 14.3% [25][28]. - Despite the downward revision in earnings estimates, BAC's strong performance and strategic initiatives present an attractive risk-reward profile for long-term investors [27][28].