Core Viewpoint - The market is focused on the upcoming U.S. non-farm payroll data for January, with expectations of a slowdown in employment growth and a potential impact on Federal Reserve policy [1] Group 1: Employment Data - The U.S. non-farm payroll report, originally scheduled for February 6, has been delayed to February 11 due to a government shutdown [1] - The report is expected to show an addition of 69,000 jobs for January, with the unemployment rate remaining at 4.4% [1] - There is an anticipated downward revision of 911,000 jobs in the annual employment data up to March 2025 [1] Group 2: Federal Reserve Policy - The Federal Reserve initiated interest rate cuts at the end of 2025, influenced by signs of weakness in the labor market [1] - The market currently estimates a 78.4% probability that the Federal Reserve will maintain interest rates in March, but this expectation has decreased to 57.3% for April, down from 70% a week prior [1]
美非农就业数据推迟至2月11日发布 就业人数或下修91.1万人
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2026-02-11 02:50