Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2026-02-11 06:52Group 1: Cement Industry - The cement industry is expected to see a phase of supply improvement starting in the second half of 2024, with profitability gradually recovering by 2026 [1][2] - The average cement price in 2025 is projected to be 372.8 yuan/ton, a decrease of 12.6 yuan/ton year-on-year, with a cumulative production decline of 7.2% [2] - A total of 16 million tons/year of capacity has been removed through capacity replacement, which may lead to asset impairment for several companies [2] Group 2: Glass Industry - The flat glass industry is experiencing a significant decline, with the average price in 2025 expected to be 1323.3 yuan/ton, down 383.4 yuan/ton year-on-year [3] - Daily melting capacity has dropped below 150,000 tons, a decrease of 27,000 tons/day from previous highs, indicating an acceleration in the cold repair cycle [3] - The profitability of photovoltaic glass is under pressure, with a projected average price of 21 yuan/square meter in 2025, down 3 yuan/square meter from 2024 [3] Group 3: Fiberglass and Electronic Fabrics - The average price of fiberglass yarn in 2025 is expected to be 3866 yuan/ton, an increase of 174 yuan/ton year-on-year, indicating stable market conditions [4] - The average price of ordinary electronic fabric is projected to be 9012 yuan/ton in 2025, up 539 yuan/ton year-on-year, reflecting improving market conditions [4] - Demand for special electronic fabrics is accelerating, contributing positively to the performance of companies in this segment [4] Group 4: Consumer Building Materials - Companies like Three Trees and Hanhai Group are maintaining strong revenue and profit performance through effective channel development and brand advantages [5] - Companies in the gypsum board and retail pipeline sectors are expected to maintain strong operational quality, with potential for significant performance improvement in 2026 [5] - Several consumer building material companies are anticipated to release credit risks in 2025, allowing for a more favorable performance outlook in 2026 [5]