Sou Hu Cai Jing·2026-02-11 09:28Core Viewpoint - Current infrastructure investment is becoming a crucial support for the economy, with fiscal policies continuously strengthening, leading to a configuration window driven by infrastructure recovery in the building materials sector [1] Group 1: Infrastructure Investment Dynamics - The "14th Five-Year Plan" is entering its final year, accelerating the implementation of major engineering projects, which is providing solid support for the improvement of the industry fundamentals through the demand pull of infrastructure [1] - Since the second half of 2024, active fiscal policies have significantly increased, with the pace of special bond issuance accelerating and the launch of ultra-long special government bonds injecting ample funds into infrastructure investment [1] - Infrastructure investment has a clear policy orientation and planning, unlike the endogenous fluctuations of real estate investment, with 2025 being a key year for the transition between the "14th" and "15th" Five-Year Plans [1][4] Group 2: Investment Trends and Performance - Despite a year-on-year decline in cumulative infrastructure construction investment to -1.48% in December, the cumulative proportion of infrastructure investment remained high at 50.49% in December 2025, reflecting its significant position in fixed asset investment [1][4] - Key areas for current infrastructure investment include urban agglomerations, metropolitan areas, and the connectivity of infrastructure along the "Belt and Road" [4] - Major infrastructure projects are expected to drive demand for cement, pipes, waterproof materials, and other building materials, with a focus on water conservancy and disaster prevention projects [4][5] Group 3: Building Materials Sector Outlook - The building materials industry is currently in a low operating state after inventory destocking, and the concentrated release of infrastructure demand is expected to trigger price elasticity [5] - The profitability transmission from infrastructure recovery is anticipated to drive the development of the building materials sector, with a notable improvement in gross profit margins due to supply-side discipline and cost pressure relief [6] - The building materials sector is characterized by "valuation repair + profit improvement," with the risk of a cliff-like decline in demand eliminated by infrastructure support, leading to a systematic uplift in valuation [8] Group 4: Investment Vehicles and Strategies - The building materials ETF (159745) tracks the CSI All-Share Building Materials Index, covering leading enterprises across the entire industry chain, providing an efficient tool for investors to layout in the building materials sector [8][9] - The top ten holdings in the ETF reflect a high concentration in leading companies across various segments of the building materials industry, accounting for over 60% of the total holdings [9] - The building materials sector is highlighted as a core cyclical investment, with low valuations and high dividends, making it attractive for investors during market shifts towards cyclical stocks [12]